OK, I said I'd give you an explanation. Here it comes. I'll first start with myself:
I am
*makes dramatic appearance, jumps onto the stage, slips and falls through the not-secured trap-door*
Well, as you might have guessed, I'm Eisuke - and in love with Kogoro alias Conia. We two, mangaluva (Yumi) formed the Lover's Union.
Since we are both townsfolk, we'll also win if the town wins and we're alive, therefore we can safely ally with every not-BO-player.
At first, I considered the Trickster a very weak role, just like you did. But, after analysing him, I found him to be stronger than any other character, including the detective, the doctor and the slanderer. The strength lies hidden in his ability. I noticed it after Ran's death. I tricked bluekaitou this night, and since someone got killed, I could now safely trust him - if he were BO, we wouldn't have had any deaths! After the double-killing, I knew that all me, Conia, mangaluva, ranger, bluekaitou and Ran were innocent, leaving "only" 5 suspects out of 9 living people. At that time, I asked bluekaitou to join the Union.
The following night, I tricked Elika. Again someone died, Holmes, the detective, and now only three possible BO members remained: Ctu, Beastly and Sakina, while I had 5 sure allies.
At this time, Beastly announced he were Ai. While he can do so safely, it were very useful to me. If he were a BO member, he might claim himself to be townsfolk, but to declare himself Ai was very dangerous if the "true" Ai would show up (and we have an Ai, since Akonyl already informed us about 3 of 4 villagers (although he said it were only models, I believed he wouldn't just make himself additionally work to invent a new description while ignoring a main character ;D)). And yes, there's also no Ai among the other members of the Union. Therefore I considered it unlikely for him to be BO, and could therefore conclude that Ctu and Sakina were the BO.
I decided to go for Ctu first and informed the Union while also posting my post above, but it were at break at school and I hadn't enough time to make a post like this. Now three possibilities remain:
- About 80%: Ctu is BO, and Sakina is as well. Since I'll trick Sakina this night, the BO will die tomorrow.
- About 10%: Ctu isn't BO, but Sakina and beastly are. In this case it will simply take one more round since I'll always trick Sakina.
- About 10%: Ctu is BO and Beastly is, yet Sakina isn't. This is the most unpleasant case, since the BO will be able to kill one more time, but because you know I tricked Sakina (Ctu is confirmed as Mafia and dead), you can easily conclude Beastly is BO and, even if both I and Conia were killed (because we're lovers), we'd still win since you would outvote him 3:1 (bluekaitou, Elika, Sakina (!) - Beastly).
To sum it up, I'll give you our table, but I removed the identities of the others members. It's safe to tell them know, so they may do it on their own, but I won't give this information away. Yet they are all enemies of the BO for sure, and that's the important thing. Everything that is bold is sure.
Current informations of the Lover's Union:
bluekaitou
Not BO
conia
Not BO
ranger
Hunter (+)
BeastlyClaims to be Ai
SakinaMost likely BO
Callid
Eisuke
mangaluva
Yumi (+)
Holmes
Shinichi (+)
Elika12
Not BO
CtuMost likely BO
xcommando
Ran (+)
If you don't believe me, you might ask the other members. You might also ask dead mangaluva about the lovers, if Akonyl allows it.
And now the most important thing:
According to the information, we'll vote for Ctu. However the result, I'll trick Sakina, so they won't be able to kill anyone as long as Beastly's claim is right, and if someone die, simply go for Beastly.
Signed, Callid, also known as Eisuke or Trickster, plan-maker (and also somehow the leader) of the Union.
P.S.:
If you notice any error or notice something that seems not logic or even contradictory, inform me. I might have made a mistake somewhere in this long post.