ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Detective and Civilians Win)

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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by dumytru »

Stopwatch wrote:
Request

I know some of you have been doing this already, but to those who aren't, please can you put [Espionage Round 2] (exact wording, please) in your PMs to me. This is just to make it easier to sort out from any Mafia-related PMs. Thanks ^^.
Agreed. Also, I'd be nice to name it like this "Espionage - Round 2, Day 3".
That would make the admin's job easier.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 5)

Post by Raiden »

Togop wrote: ...Then he went silent (may have something to do with the call not to vote for silent people soon after his second post).
In light of that my vote will be for Raiden unless I'm convinced otherwise. I'm posting this early in the day to give people a reasonable chance to convince me otherwise. After all, it's possible the spy is framing him.
Well, sorry if I am being being quiet but it's just part of who I am by nature. If I felt like I had anything worthwhile to contribute to the conversation, which hadn't already been said, I would. The fact is though, I do not. I felt kinda of forced to post early on after being called out for being silent (by Jd no less) lest I would be voted out for not saying anything. :|
Jd- wrote: ...
If the Detective is out there and has even a one percent doubt that I am a civilian, PLEASE use Investigate on me.
...
I believe Jd when he say he's not the spy, however I wouldn't rule him out not to be the second informant; the above post only increasing my suspicioun of him to be either Informant or Civilian. It would be a great play for the informant to seek the attention of the Detective so the Spy has free reigns to kill someone else without fear of being targeted by the Detective.
If my word has an merit, I would advice the Detective to target anyone but Jd- of the remaining people--I will leave it to them to decide who they find the most suspicious. If I were the spy though, that would seem like a really risky move to suggest would it not? No way of knowing who the Detective deciding to target.

If Jd turn out to be the second informant, it will, without a doubt, clear Miyano from suspicioun of being the Spy. Actually by that logic I am kind of glad she was not voted out. Poor Meme though :( *hugs*
Last edited by Raiden on February 16th, 2014, 6:43 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by shinichi'sapprentice »

day 6!

i've been wanting to post so bad at the time those very long posts were posted and also at the time the results were revealed. but my boss was around and there was a lot of work to do so i wasn't able to. anyways. let's begin.

i'm so glad people started talking. i was worried that people forgot about the game because if you look back, there were only five posts before my pleading double post. and, you're welcome detective...
Togop wrote: Actually, the nature of the game causes silence.
'tis not! people should be talking more! i have not played the mafia game before, but i have read some rounds of it. i believe PMs happen there? well it is one of the absolute rule not to do that here. how else are we going to communicate to each other but by posting here. if we are going to be quiet, how are we gonna help the detective deliver his deductions? if he ends up finally figuring out who the spy is, he's going to have a hard time saying that to all of us because it will be suspicious if out of the blue he just speaks up while everyone of us were just silent. . . but that's not the problem now anymore because people are talking more. yay..?

---

on Jd- voting miyano_shiho, it just proved that he is 100% not the detective.

---

about the day 2 happenings, if you guys want or if you still care, i have proof of the edit.

---
Togop wrote:About the voting alliance, I guess I'm in for now.

16b427
the bolded one. is that some code? or am i just too sleepy to understand?

---

Lastly. . . there are a few believing that Jd- could be the remaining informant. how about this. . .
i dare you spy! yes, you spy! kill Jd- now! if he really is the informant, then he wouldn't die because who would kill their only ally from the remaining 14 people unless the spy really is evil. if he dies, and he's the informant, then you are something! if Jd- is a normal civilian and he dies, at least we get his list. if Jd- is the detective, which i doubt, then sorry. give me two days and i'll figure out who the spy is in my list.

this is a very reckless move. if the spy ends up killing me instead of Jd-, then you guys now have my list. if the spy ignores me, then it could be that Jd- is the informant or the spy himself.

that is all for now. good night.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Iwamoto Yuri »

Well, as part of the alliance, who are we voting for before I forget to vote?
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Kleene Onigiri »

Jd- wrote:
Kleene Onigiri wrote:I find Jd's conclusion strange, because he still insists on the day 2 killing thing. Jd is not someone who's ignoring clues/facts, and it is said that day 2 was a tie first, and then the voting was edited and someone arrested. There was no killing at all.
So don't put Jd off the suspect list, he's very suspicious to me for that D: For others too? Or is that just me? :x
The Day 2 thing was posted that way because I wasn't here for Day 2's reveal. As I posted long ago, I'm busy from 4:00~9:00'ish each day, but I decided to pop in a little early today because I may not be around until much later this time. Since I only saw you bring it up in that way, I wasn't sure if it was just speculation on your part. That's why I didn't get into that sort of meta-reasoning too much, since it relies on extraneous details that aren't results. I am comfortable striking that from the post if that is indeed what happened, and since I wasn't here at the time, I don't have a choice but to trust those that were.
Still doesn't explain your strange behaviour. It's fine to not be certain about the day 2 happenings, since I wasn't witnessing it either myself. And I did say it in my post
half speculating/half asking others if that really happened.
BUT Fujiwara did confirm it D: Even if you wouldn't be sure about his statement about day 2, you wouldn't just disregard it, but instead ask in the thread if others also could confirm it. That's what the Jd I know would do :P
Instead, you conveniently stayed silent about it :V
Jd- wrote: I could be the Informant, but there's pretty much no way that I'm the Spy. If I were the Spy (I'm not), I would have apparently already put into play several evil plots to sacrifice people left and right. Given that the people who accused me even early on are still alive, I think you could write me off on that. (If I were the Spy, I'd downplay their accusations, shift the focus from myself onto someone else, and kill them as soon as possible while potentially doing a kill-vote to mask it) Basically: Everyone who has been talking and reasoning aloud (especially those that cast suspicion on me) would have been killed way, way earlier than now (Fujiwara would've died long ago, in that case). No matter the initial suspicion from an accuser dying, it would save me a lot of trouble later on. I'd much rather spend time misdirecting the public immediately after their death than deal with their suspicion while they're alive, personally.
I doubt that. If you would be the spy, you wouldn't kill of the ones that are suspecting you too fast. Since that would make you suspicious and you would try to take down the detective, and people that are suspecting you loud but not accusing you directly to get you voted aren't a real treat to you and are most likely not the detective. Since the detective wouldn't be too loud to accuse people without much proof, since that would just make him a big target.
(besides me last round as the detective, I'm always loud :D)
Jd- wrote: What I would like to do today is set up an alliance, even if only temporarily. I would like to specifically invite the following people to join me in making a voting decision, if you're interested:

- Togop
- Fujiwara
- Yuri Iwamoto
- Jelitto

Now, everyone is more than welcome to join us, should the above decide to join in, and of course those in or out are both encouraged to nominate their own vote targets. The more that you act with this group of definitely-not-the-Spy players, the less suspicious you'll be, I'd wager. It's up to you, but I think we stand a good chance together if we can come to some natural conclusions.

I'm open to voting for Raiden today if Raiden does not speak up and give us a reason not to vote for him. It's true he's been on a lot of lists, but... that could mean he's the Detective as well. We should definitely tread lightly.

As a show of good faith, what I am also willing to do is put myself up to be voted later on, if things don't pan out and people really believe I'm the informant at that time. Essentially, we can arrange a safety net: I will put myself up to be voted out when it is only myself ("the Informant"), the Spy, and a safe amount of civilians that can then corner the Spy. Right now, there are plenty of people left, so voting out someone like me that has actively campaigned for several civilians is probably not in the best interests of the civilian population.
Some people said that figuring out the informant isn't as important as getting the spy. That's true.
But now imagine if Jd really is the informant. He created an alliance of people he trusts, and so far, those people are going for the one that Jd nominated... is this really safe? Considering it's a 5 man alliance together with Jd, it's most likely the majority of the votes. Since most people would also vote together with that alliance. And to counter that vote, the people who are left would need to vote for the same person, which is unlikely if they don't create their own alliance.
He even said to vote for him later on if things are going bad... a move often used in Mafia to gain trust :3 (and works quite well, I used it myself often too :x)

I can't say for certain that Jd is the informant, since I don't know. But he is suspicious. So at least other people from the alliance should decide on who to vote, and not just go with what Jd suggests. If you want to go with what Jd suggests, then it should also have a good reason and not just "well, nothing better to vote for".

You guys have to be wary of Jd. He's a evil mastermind! Whether as BO or town. I played Mafia with him :3

Also, notice how Jd is just suggesting people from the list that were posted in the thread... D:


@shinichi'sapprentice:
I doubt the spy would go for Jd after you said Jd's 100% not the detective... :x
Although I find your reasoning on why Jd isn't the detective strange... or nonexistant XD

And yeah, in Mafia there are more PMing than open talking in the forum.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Jd- »

I will go with the earlier suggestion by Togop to vote Raiden. I trust him as a nearly definite civilian, so I've sent my vote accordingly. He wasn't my first choice, but he may know things we don't and as such I'm going to play with the team on this one.

I'll also post more in just a bit.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Fujiwara »

Yuri Iwamoto wrote:Well, as part of the alliance, who are we voting for before I forget to vote?
So far we've agreed on Raiden, and I'm inclined to leave it at that.
Kleene Onigiri wrote: Some people said that figuring out the informant isn't as important as getting the spy. That's true.
But now imagine if Jd really is the informant. He created an alliance of people he trusts, and so far, those people are going for the one that Jd nominated... is this really safe? Considering it's a 5 man alliance together with Jd, it's most likely the majority of the votes. Since most people would also vote together with that alliance. And to counter that vote, the people who are left would need to vote for the same person, which is unlikely if they don't create their own alliance.
He even said to vote for him later on if things are going bad... a move often used in Mafia to gain trust :3 (and works quite well, I used it myself often too :x)

I can't say for certain that Jd is the informant, since I don't know. But he is suspicious. So at least other people from the alliance should decide on who to vote, and not just go with what Jd suggests. If you want to go with what Jd suggests, then it should also have a good reason and not just "well, nothing better to vote for".
It is good to be suspicious, certainly, but it wasn't Jd- who suggested our current choice (Raiden). It was Togop:
Togop wrote: In light of that my vote will be for Raiden unless I'm convinced otherwise. I'm posting this early in the day to give people a reasonable chance to convince me otherwise. After all, it's possible the spy is framing him.
And I agreed that there were grounds to at least suspect Raiden and decided to join him:
Fujiwara wrote: I think I shall vote for Raiden too unless someone presents a better alternative.
And only afterwards did Jd- suggest the voting alliance, while also agreeing to vote for Raiden:
Jd- wrote: I'm open to voting for Raiden today if Raiden does not speak up and give us a reason not to vote for him.
shinichi'sapprentice wrote: Lastly. . . there are a few believing that Jd- could be the remaining informant. how about this. . .
i dare you spy! yes, you spy! kill Jd- now! if he really is the informant, then he wouldn't die because who would kill their only ally from the remaining 14 people unless the spy really is evil. if he dies, and he's the informant, then you are something! if Jd- is a normal civilian and he dies, at least we get his list. if Jd- is the detective, which i doubt, then sorry. give me two days and i'll figure out who the spy is in my list.
That won't work. If I were the spy and Jd- were the informant I wouldn't kill him, obviously. But if he were not my informant I also wouldn't kill him after a post like this, because letting him live means people will doubt him, making his deductions less useful, and diverting attention away from the real informant.
shinichi'sapprentice wrote: on Jd- voting miyano_shiho, it just proved that he is 100% not the detective.
I don't get your reasoning here at all, but more importantly, if you think that someone is not the detective, why would you go out of your way to point that out to the spy? This is not the first time you've done so either ...

And last but not least:
Togop wrote:About the voting alliance, I guess I'm in for now.

16b427
Just like shinichi'sapprentice, I'd really like to know why you wrote that.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Jd- »

OK! Real posting time. To reiterate a couple of quick points, including one pointed out by Fujiwara just then:

- I'm voting for Raiden this time, which was Togop's suggestion and one concurred by Fujiwara. My first choice was Miyano, and while Raiden was not my #1 choice, I trust that there's good reason to follow through on it.

- I've been busy the past week but I'll be back in full action tomorrow (including updating the game poster) and can really get into hype mode.


To address some specific points:

@Kleene: As mentioned, this "behavior" on the Day 2 thing is pretty easily explained by the fact I've been splitting play time for the game between a tablet, phone, and a laptop that's not my main computer while I've been on vacation. It's not an exciting explanation, but it's the conclusive one. I'll be back to my usual playstyle tomorrow when things are back to normal. I'm honestly not sure what the implication would be for me being evil about the whole Day 2 mishap. Would it be that I was trying to somehow mask the truth by offering a plausible explanation? I don't think that there's any major way for either side to twist what happened to their advantage, and I know I didn't try to do so. As such, no matter how you take what I said about the Day 2 fiasco, I don't think it can be taken as a genuine attempt at any sort of manipulation. Also add on that I already said we can nix my theory about it and I don't really see what's left to discuss about it.

I also definitely would have killed someone like Fujiwara when that seed had just been planted, long before it got to this point. Done it many times in Mafia, would definitely have done it here too.

To the most important point: As Fujiwara pointed out, Raiden wasn't my choice and not someone I mentioned. I'm willing to vote with these specific players because they are reasonably ones we can assume are civilians. If all of them speak up each day, we can at least be sure that most-likely-civilians are putting forth their best efforts together instead of potentially being misled by the Spy and/or Informant.

Offering myself up to a vote is no doubt, definitely, clearly, and obviously a means to garner trust, and a genuine and honest one. It's, as stated, a show of good faith to everyone: I am fully willing to sacrifice myself if everyone really believes the civilians will be better off without me after we've exhausted our other options. I don't mind it, but I also don't want the Spy to get into our alliance and have the stronger/more active players arrested just to make their job easier. I'm foremost a team player, so whatever we need to do as a team, I'm up for it if it means winning in the best way we can.

@shinichi'sapprentice: I'm not sure what the reason is for asking the Spy to kill me in that manner, since there are still a lot of players left. If you mean that if I'm not the Spy you definitely know who it is, then... Go ahead and suggest someone to vote that's not me and we can do this in reverse order and hopefully get the Spy.

@Raiden: If I were the Informant, that would clear Miyano of being the Spy, but that's still just one person compared to the five I already vouched for and vindicated as nearly-definite civilians. I likewise suggest the Detective target anyone but me, because it's a wasted attempt as I'm not the Spy. But, if they need a little reassurance to trust me, I'm totally open to that.

Additionally, I wasn't someone who wanted to vote for you initially. I'm not convinced you're the Spy, but an informant--? It's definitely possible. We have two members of the makeshift alliance that believe you to be suspicious, so I would prefer to go with two likely-civilians than possibly-enemies.

@Fujiwara: Thanks for noting it wasn't me who mentioned Raiden first, lest someone think I was steering the ship all by my lonesome. I'm content with deciding who to arrest as a unit rather than just going on one suggestion. This time, we had two suggestions (Miyano and Raiden), and I'm totally on board with the one that wasn't mine. Let's see how it turns out.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Kleene Onigiri »

Ah, I'm sorry for confusing the order of togops post and Jd's post (I somehow thought Jd posted first).

Still, you said "I'm open to voting for Raiden today [...]" which at least means you are find with voting Raiden. So you're still mostly going for people that are shown in the list of the killed people.

Like I said, it's fine to be inactive and miss stuff (I also missed the togop nominating Raiden first thing, even without being inactive, my mind just not focused enough).
But you prepared a big post and took time in making that post (since you posted that before that big post viewtopic.php?f=30&t=12154&start=210#p799422)
Which would mean you took your time to analyze stuff thoroughly, and not actually being busy/inactive at that certain time. Which would mean you still ignored the fact that people said that the day 2 tie happened and no one was killed.
So if you would be the Informant (that's a theory now) and wanted to make those people that voted on day 2 - Raifuujin, breva, and Kaito Lady - look innocent, then you would definitely try to use the day 2 thing to your advantage.

Because as a civil, when in doubt about some stuff (whether on day 2 the spy really tried to kill dumytru or not), you would say that those people aren't cleared of suspicion rather than being innocent for sure.

But maybe you were still busy, or your mind is just idling around like mine before too XD (danm studying!!! >_<) But as I said, when in doubt, you'd rather think someone is still a suspect :V

As to why that's important, it could be a clue on whether you're the informant or maybe even the spy (for me you're still a spy candidate :P XD)
Since figuring out the informant can give us information about the spy too.


PS: Would be great if the list of who's dead/arrested would be updated on the first page :3 Just a list as a text is enough too :V
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Jd- »

Tomorrow the poster updates shall resume. That's on me and not Stoppers.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Stopwatch »

Jd- wrote:Tomorrow the poster updates shall resume. That's on me and not Stoppers.
I get the feeling if I attempted to edit it the avatars would just end up replaced by pictures of various fluffy animals after I lost all the original ones :v.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Kleene Onigiri »

No rush! Also don't want to force anyone to do it :V
Would do it myself, but my mind is so dizzy from studying I won't be able to make one without tons of mistakes oTL
I'm for the fluffy avatars tho! \o/ XD
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Raiden »

Kleene Onigiri wrote:PS: Would be great if the list of who's dead/arrested would be updated on the first page :3 Just a list as a text is enough too :V
It's not the front page...but I hope this will do for you! :3 \o/

Arrested: Cider, dumytru, Kaito Lady, Meme
Dead: Conan-chandesune, googleearth, Edo-chan, RoboG55
Alive: Jd-, Yuri Iwamoto, Shinichi's Apprentice, Monsi, Jellitto, Jecka, Raifuujin, Raiden, Fujiwara, Kleene Onigiri, Miyano, Kamite, Breva, Togop


I don't know yet who I will vote yet, but I know who I won't take any heed of when I decide on it. ::)

Going to take a little time to look through the thread again at people's comments and votes to see if I can help in finding a better candidate for voting, because, y'know, I want the town to win as much as everyone (beside Spy and Informant obviously) else. ^^

*Edit!*

So! Here's my deduction of who the Spy cannot be (doesn't necessarily rule them out to be an informant, but just looking at the Spy now since he is the most dangerous element):
* Yuri
* Raifuu
* Fujiwara
* Jd-
* Jellitto
* Kleene
* Raiden

Togop may or may not belong to the list, but not sure about him. I am leaning more toward trusting shinichi's apprentice than Togop to be honest.
It does not rule them out completely since there's still a chance one of them may be the informant...

That leaves the following players:
* Kamite
* Breva
* Jecka
* Monsi
* Miyano_shiho

I might decide to vote Jecka...but I have not completely made up my mind yet.
Last edited by Raiden on February 16th, 2014, 12:25 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Kleene Onigiri »

Thanks Raiden \o/ *hugs*

Well, I don't believe Raiden is the spy (silly reason is, that Raiden was Spy round 1 :P XD)
So I wanted to vote Raifuujin :V
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 6)

Post by Jecka »

Raiden wrote: That leaves the following players:
* Kamite
* Breva
* Jecka
* Monsi
* Miyano_shiho
Watashi wa spy janai D:
Kleene Onigiri wrote:Thanks Raiden \o/ *hugs*

Well, I don't believe Raiden is the spy (silly reason is, that Raiden was Spy round 1 :P XD)
Oh someone finally brought this up. :-X Although, it's not impossible that he could be the spy again, I think it makes Raiden being the spy more unlikely.
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