Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:True, many things don't add up...yet. We don't know much about Akai, do we ?
We really don't know what he thinks or does.
We do know quite a bit, especially after he became as Okiya. Even though he put on an act, you still have a pretty good look at his priorities and his personality. Ex. He is protective to the point of practically being a stalker, but doesn't like to actually jump in until a strongly dangerous situation arises. Assuming his mail PS came from Akemi, he is loyal to her every word, even after death. He is dedicated to his mission to the point of it being a character flaw, putting it before his love and happiness (the one who never smiles) and the happiness and psychological wellbeing of those he loves or wants to protect (Shiho, Akemi, Jodie, Masumi). Sacrificing himself and others for the mission is something he did as a spy in the BO and currently doing by playing dead to protect Kir's mission and watch Haibara (which he considers important enough to do and not tell his coworkers or his family about.) He tries (and most likely fails) to make up for this somewhat - mailing Masumi Jeet Kun Do videos for example. He also, like Conan, prefers to keep his secrets, even when they could help others because he is self-assured in his ability to act correctly and doesn't like to show his hand until he has all the cards.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:
Again, we don't know where Akai gets his informations,
The important part is that he doesn't know anything he shouldn't, i.e all his mysterious info can come from non-BO info sources. When he picks Ethan Hondou out to be a CIA agent and Jodie and James don't know who he talked to figure this out, that doesn't imply a wicked source. More likely he has some friends in the other agency that could do him an unofficial favor.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:why he acts separately from the FBI
Because, like Conan, he is very self confident in his own ability. Virtually all the male detective-type characters do this type of thing (to the police, their girlfriends, etc.), not just Akai. The difference is Akai is older and has a job.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:why he doesn't kill or capture BO members even when he has had many chances to do so
He had good reasons/situations not to.
• Camel wrecked his original plan to catch Gin.
• In New York, Vermouth was disguised when he shot her, so it isn't clear if he knew who she was at the time of the action.
• He disables Calvados, removes all the weapons he can find on him, and rushes to Jodie's aid in the span of Vermouth yelling a few sentences about how Ran should get off of Shiho.
• He non-lethally fires on Vermouth, and Jodie explicitly says she needs to be left alive so she can be interrogated. Akai didn't expect her to be so strong (he was impressed at her endurance later) and didn't want to fire on her while Conan, Ran, and Haibara were also in his line of fire.
• He lets Gin and the rest of the BO go after taking out Conan's transmitter because he was pretty sure that a gunbattle would erupt if he killed Gin or one of the others. Jodie asks why Akai didn't disable a few of the BO for capture in the chapter's final pages and then agrees with Shuu's judgement after he explains it.
• He tries to catch Rikumichi, but Rikumichi suicides to avoid capture.
• As Okiya, he can't capture Bourbon or Vermouth because there no way to do so safely in a public/closed off environment.
In short, Akai is victim of Gosho blocking plot advancement by not allowing him to capture anyone that would know useful info. It's the same reason Conan can't ever catch any BO, and Haibara will never progress out of the doesn't-trust-Conan-enough-to-tell-him-anything-useful stage despite them working together nearly flawlessly on every other topic.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:
or what kind of change he experienced when Akemi died.
He became more closed off in James's words, not surprising because he truly loved Akemi and failed to protect her when it counted (because he put his mission ahead of her interests and happiness.). Imagine how Conan would act if he lost Ran to the BO.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:I could be wrong, but you could too.
Not being snarky, but trying to evaluate a character's allegiance by examining their motives and actions to see if they are consistent with a particular allignment is a tried and true strategy. All the major plot arc have relied heavily on this type of evidence. Gosho tries to hide these clues beneath a veneer of suspicious expressions and sketchy talk, but it all works out in the end. Relying on hunches is a trap because it distracts from proper unemotional analysis of the facts at hand.
I can't emphasize this enough:
Gosho's personal rule for mystery writing is that a character's actions are always consistent with their motives, allegiance, and personality. Therefore you can work backwards from observed action to deduce motives, allegiance, and personality. Virtually nobody ever does anything for the hell of it; Gosho says in an interview that he wants every criminal to have a reason for acting, not just because.
Gosho doesn't have his characters enact complex gambits (like the boss pretending to be an FBI agent) for the sake of having complex gambits because it is more mysterious/harder to solve/twisty/would shock the fans. There is always a reason, or a personality, that motivates these gambits. That means you can take information about people's personality and motives and use it to deduce if they are likely to be pulling the strings behind a gambit.
We know from Vermouth, who has no particular reason to lie about it, that the boss is cautious to a fault. Does that mesh with Akai's attacks on the Organization and its members, and failure to address threats like Conan and Haibara? We also know the BO connections to an experiment related to APTX that is over 50 years old; given the current plot about Akai's family which will probably lead to info about his past, how does the Organization's timeline line up with Akai's? The boss thought Shuichi Akai could become the Black Organization’s silver bullet.(434) Why would hypothetical boss-Akai make this sort of pronouncement and draw more-than-necessary attention to himself from his Organization that wants to kill him? Assuming hypothetical-boss Akai is in the FBI in order to spy on potential enemies, why would he bother to distinguish himself that much vs just do enough so he in on the FBI's anti Org team?
Of course Gosho chooses personalities and situations that are gambit fertile; ex: way too many characters have personalities that cause them to keep secrets from one another when talking it out would really help.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:
It also could be that the BO got out of control, which he realized with Akemis death and now he wants to stop it.
What's the evidence for this? Certain people do act on their own and cause trouble, but I don't think that's a sign of the boss
losing control. I think the boss was never in complete control of his Organization in the first place because it is made up of characters that resist control. (The average deferential salaryman isn't going to be drawn into BO type work.) That said, Gin is one of the few characters that obeys the boss regularly, who also tries to do what the boss would order even when acting on his own. If anyone is going to kill someone like Akemi unexpectedly, Gin is the least likely to do so.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:
Akai being Anokata is a possibility, which I find very plausible and I won't let go of this thought until it is confirmed in the manga that Anokata is someone different.
I think it's best to consider data from multiple points of view, not get too attached to any one theory, and always be prepared to reexamine your reasoning. When we first found out that Akai had a brother, the first thing I did was re-evaluate the evidence about Okiya to see if he could have been the brother the whole time.
Tsuburaya Mitsuhiko wrote:
Also, don't forget this is a mystery manga. You shouldn't believe everything the characters say about each other or what they say about themselves. And the more mysterious a character is (like Akai) the higher the chance is he has some dark secrets.
A lot of what we know about Akai doesn't come from his mouth because he isn't very talkative, but from observing how he acts and the testimony of Jodie and James. Virtually all the info I put in the above paragraph about his personality comes from what other people said about Akai and what his actions say about him.
Nice Post by Citan below
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