Mafia Retro Round 48 - BO Wins!

[Iwamoto Yuri]

whoa.... that makes me think of the 'prophetic' moments I used to have...

pretty awesome way to be helped during your fm game :3

[Jecka]

Rai, you asked how I thought the others would react, but my reaction:
Wow, that's just...wow. *_*

When you first mentioned that you were having dreams about who was dying, I didn't think much about it. But reading this...

[Jefufuh]

Okay, I promised my fellow BO members that I would post this, so...here goes. Hope it doesn't sound too weird...

Before I even got my role, I dreamed that I was playing mafia as a townie and only had 15 minutes left to vote. for some reason, the dream had me discussing who to vote for with Callid. After I got my role and joined the BO, Jecka decided that Callid would die. Didn't think much of it.

Later, I had another dream, but didn't remember anything  about it. I did get the  pofa was in it somewhere though, so I voted for her Day 1. Miyano voted with me, and she died. Still didn't think to hard about it.

Then I had the same kind of dream as pofa, but it was Raiden I felt was in it. Then I remembered about the others. I wasn't sure whether or not to choose him to kill just based on that, so I told Jecka that I could either kill Rai for a strange reason or Misaki for random. She flipped a coin and it told her we should pick Rai. :V It was then I started getting weird-ed out.

Then I got the feeling of Kleene from another dream. But no one was lynched Day 2 and I was only arrested. Thought that might mean the dreams were nothing. Then it was decided that Kleene should be killed that night. :V

The next dream I had didn't actually give me a specific name, but it was about a girl dressed as a princess getting a prize of some sort, so I kinda interpreted it to mean Meme, because of the Sad East Kingdom... I told Jecka that I was starting to feel like my dreams were getting prophetic and wondered if she had chosen to kill Meme. She admitted that she had been between Meme and monsi, but she decided to go with monsi instead. Then KL left instead of there really being a lynching, so it wasn't until the next night that Miyano decided to kill Meme. ...And she was revealed to be a cop.....

Didn't have any more dreams of people after that, but I did get one where, right before I woke up, the song 'I'll Make a Man Out of You' started playing and ended up getting stuck in my head. When Miyano was wondering whether to APTX Yuri as Shinichi or Heiji, I told her to go with Heiji because I thought the song matched him better...and it worked. :x

Also, getting away from the creepy dreams, I'm glad I told Miyano to vote me that time, because it seemed to make Gio trust her more. Even if I would've died if I hadn't been arrested, go semi-strategy. \o/

Just remember that I will always try to ally with you in future games :x

[Giogio]

Sorry, I couldn't resist 

Okay, I promised my fellow BO members that I would post this, so...here goes. Hope it doesn't sound too weird...

Before I even got my role, I dreamed that I was playing mafia as a townie and only had 15 minutes left to vote. for some reason, the dream had me discussing who to vote for with Callid. After I got my role and joined the BO, Jecka decided that Callid would die. Didn't think much of it.

1/11

Later, I had another dream, but didn't remember anything  about it. I did get the  pofa was in it somewhere though, so I voted for her Day 1. Miyano voted with me, and she died. Still didn't think to hard about it.

Dunno, did Miyano know whom you're voting? Let's say 1/2.

Then I had the same kind of dream as pofa, but it was Raiden I felt was in it. Then I remembered about the others. I wasn't sure whether or not to choose him to kill just based on that, so I told Jecka that I could either kill Rai for a strange reason or Misaki for random. She flipped a coin and it told her we should pick Rai. :V It was then I started getting weird-ed out.

1/2

Then I got the feeling of Kleene from another dream. But no one was lynched Day 2 and I was only arrested. Thought that might mean the dreams were nothing. Then it was decided that Kleene should be killed that night. :V

1/8

The next dream I had didn't actually give me a specific name, but it was about a girl dressed as a princess getting a prize of some sort, so I kinda interpreted it to mean Meme, because of the Sad East Kingdom... I told Jecka that I was starting to feel like my dreams were getting prophetic and wondered if she had chosen to kill Meme. She admitted that she had been between Meme and monsi, but she decided to go with monsi instead. Then KL left instead of there really being a lynching, so it wasn't until the next night that Miyano decided to kill Meme. ...And she was revealed to be a cop.....

1/6

Didn't have any more dreams of people after that, but I did get one where, right before I woke up, the song 'I'll Make a Man Out of You' started playing and ended up getting stuck in my head. When Miyano was wondering whether to APTX Yuri as Shinichi or Heiji, I told her to go with Heiji because I thought the song matched him better...and it worked. :x

1/2

Makes... A probability of 7*10^-4. Yep, kinda impressive

Also, getting away from the creepy dreams, I'm glad I told Miyano to vote me that time, because it seemed to make Gio trust her more. Even if I would've died if I hadn't been arrested, go semi-strategy. \o/

Yep, that's true  :-[ I was almost convinced Miyano was BO before that. And before Raiden's will.

[miyano_shiho]

Makes... A probability of 7*10^-4. Yep, kinda impressive

lol XD

Later, I had another dream, but didn't remember anything  about it. I did get the  pofa was in it somewhere though, so I voted for her Day 1. Miyano voted with me, and she died. Still didn't think to hard about it.

Dunno, did Miyano know whom you're voting? Let's say 1/2.

I knew, though I didn't know about her dream. Probability's a bit more complicated in this case. hmm...



Funny thing about this is... (quote from BO board)

I'm thinking any two of us vote for a single person (make sure it's not more than that) since there is a very low probability that the townies will vote the same person if they just vote randomly (unless a lead comes up)...

I thought in terms of probabilities too. I was hoping people would just let that lynch go unnoticed but you can't hide things like that to a math person (despite pofa apparently acting 'suspiciously'). :xx So my vote for Rai was kind of used as a counter to that.

[Stopwatch]

My attempts at probability in FM usually gets someone killed :x

But \o/ @Rai and miyano

[Raifuujin]

I can't say anything on the behalf of Shiratori or Chiba, but as for me...I went off my first instinct, a bit of luck, the votes Day 1, and it didn't hurt either that Gin sold out Vodka as a suspect when I confronted him about being one of my main suspects either. That's also what I think got me killed in the first place too, though... V:

Don't underestimate how oblivious I can be. Didn't even occur to me that you agreeing that Jef was suspicious made you suspicious to the BO. Was going purely on subconscious suggestion. And as for why I 'sold out Vodka', well...you asked me who I thought was suspicious, and he was it. Even on the BO thread, I said that Jef seemed to be acting suspicious to me on this thread, so I just told you the truth. Never said any reason other than the fact that his replies on the thread seemed off to me.

Then I had the same kind of dream as pofa, but it was Raiden I felt was in it. Then I remembered about the others. I wasn't sure whether or not to choose him to kill just based on that, so I told Jecka that I could either kill Rai for a strange reason or Misaki for random. She flipped a coin and it told her we should pick Rai. :V It was then I started getting weird-ed out.

1/2

Not sure if that one should be 50/50... Yes, the coin flip decided it, but I don't think Raiden would have even been one of the options, if not for the dream. I might've just gone with Misaki...

Also, looking back over the BO thread, one time, Miyano lied and said she would go after Yuri one night. This was immediately after I was arrested and had a feeling about Kleene. It was also before I'd really said anything about my dreams (except once after Rai had been chosen by the coin, in invisible text) and when she said that, it really made me think the dreams didn't mean anything, especially since I didn't dream about Yuri and she was supposedly the one going to be killed... Until I saw that Kleene had died instead. Gotta say, that time freaked me out a bit :V

...Watch me die early next game, just because the BO fear that my dreams would start telling me things again. Or maybe they just tell me who is troublesome for the BO... Yeah...not sure I'll trust the people who try and ally me....

[lyndsi]

Good Job BO! Seriously! Way to make the interrogators useless Conia

I'm so messing....

But yes, good game y'all!

[Jecka]

Then I had the same kind of dream as pofa, but it was Raiden I felt was in it. Then I remembered about the others. I wasn't sure whether or not to choose him to kill just based on that, so I told Jecka that I could either kill Rai for a strange reason or Misaki for random. She flipped a coin and it told her we should pick Rai. :V It was then I started getting weird-ed out.

1/2

Not sure if that one should be 50/50... Yes, the coin flip decided it, but I don't think Raiden would have even been one of the options, if not for the dream. I might've just gone with Misaki...

That's true. The head side is heavier than tails.

[miyano_shiho]

Then I had the same kind of dream as pofa, but it was Raiden I felt was in it. Then I remembered about the others. I wasn't sure whether or not to choose him to kill just based on that, so I told Jecka that I could either kill Rai for a strange reason or Misaki for random. She flipped a coin and it told her we should pick Rai. :V It was then I started getting weird-ed out.

1/2

Not sure if that one should be 50/50... Yes, the coin flip decided it, but I don't think Raiden would have even been one of the options, if not for the dream. I might've just gone with Misaki...

That's true. The head side is heavier than tails.

Maybe. Real life is indeed very complicated to be measured by probabilities.

@Jecka: Whatever :V

[Jecka]

Then I had the same kind of dream as pofa, but it was Raiden I felt was in it. Then I remembered about the others. I wasn't sure whether or not to choose him to kill just based on that, so I told Jecka that I could either kill Rai for a strange reason or Misaki for random. She flipped a coin and it told her we should pick Rai. :V It was then I started getting weird-ed out.

1/2

Not sure if that one should be 50/50... Yes, the coin flip decided it, but I don't think Raiden would have even been one of the options, if not for the dream. I might've just gone with Misaki...

That's true. The head side is heavier than tails.

Maybe. Real life is indeed very complicated to be measured by probabilities.

@Jecka: Whatever :V

:V

[Kaito Lady]

*comes back from reading all the stuff*

good work BO

[quote="Conia"]

Spoiler: Iwa's Will

I should've stayed out of dis... I' was all Yuri's idea I tell ya! Shouldn' 'ave dressed up as 'er in da first place...
But I really wanted ta go see de wedding with Kudou an' she passed me de invite. Sadly dere was a picture on de damn ding... so den she pulled out 'er make up an' before I knew I looked like 'er an' had de same voice, the only point was dat I was taller, but she said no one would notice...

So I went to dat damn wedding, an' dere de bride suddenly vanished in t'in air. I just had ta investigate, but I couldn't get noticed too much.
When de groom mentioned everyone who would join would get rewarded once dey had found his bride I stepped up. Trying my best ta sound like Yuri I said: So you'll give us our greatest wishes if we help you?
Not sure what she would've done in dis situation.... But when de emperor nodded an' promised 'er an art studio. I couldn' 'elp but grin as I walked ta a girl wearing glasses who was bouncing around. At dat point I was too excited.

Once all of us had entered de carriage an' it took off, de emperor finally explained more. 'E 'ad been de one ta pay some of de people in our group ta abduct 'is fiancé. We had ta vote fer de ones we thought were de culprit. I stared at ‘im in horror, but I had ta stay low…
‘E really is an evil guy… I’d never pay people ta abduct Kazuha….

De first night seemed quiet, I interrogated dis small onigiri with mold all over i’, who told me she was NOT BO. I left ‘er after dat… I couldn’ got too suspicious.
I told Raiden, Kaito Lady an’ Meme about what an ‘ally’ of me ‘ad discovered, den talked ta de onigiri some more. I got de feeling de onigiri an’ Raiden were trustable dat night, but Kaito Lady seemed suspicious… I had ta interrogate ‘er later.
It was den dat de l’il men guarding a glass coffin got Eisuke and gave ‘im ‘is own. I stared at i’ in horror... I have ta be more careful next time...

Day one was fairly useless since I didn’ have a clue who de kidnappers were. Talking ta oders, I tried to get clues, but go none. I couldn’ vote if I didn’ know who did i’, thus I remained silent.
Well, not when de girl who had been lured in by someone named Seth or Sethon mentioned she wanted ‘er plushie reward already. Makin’ sure I wouldn’ be found out, I said: "I hope they have an art studio!"
I guess I hoped de ball we went ta would end nice, but it ended out in Kir runnin’ off with a pumpkin carriage, screamin’ “This episode is brought to you by the number 4.  One of them is Anokata, so be careful with your house searches.â€

[pofa]

[me=pofa]makes a note to give Fuu some of those dreamless-sleep pills next time we play FM together[/me]

Unless we're both BO, of course.

[Raiden]

I can't say anything on the behalf of Shiratori or Chiba, but as for me...I went off my first instinct, a bit of luck, the votes Day 1, and it didn't hurt either that Gin sold out Vodka as a suspect when I confronted him about being one of my main suspects either. That's also what I think got me killed in the first place too, though... V:

Don't underestimate how oblivious I can be. Didn't even occur to me that you agreeing that Jef was suspicious made you suspicious to the BO. Was going purely on subconscious suggestion. And as for why I 'sold out Vodka', well...you asked me who I thought was suspicious, and he was it. Even on the BO thread, I said that Jef seemed to be acting suspicious to me on this thread, so I just told you the truth. Never said any reason other than the fact that his replies on the thread seemed off to me.

The only reason why I mentioned the "Gin selling out Vodka" in that post, was because I found that thought kinda funny.
At that point in time, it really didn't matter what you had said. My suspiciouns on you and Jef in particularly was pretty strong, even if I did want to believe you and I was on the same side. ^^'

_{Minor sidenote of no importance at all: I had Jef and monsi as choices for my arrest attempt before I died; settled on Jef because I already had really strong BO vibes from him, and only a very vague one on monsi - in the very brief PM-chats we had, he felt townish (kinda thought he was a cop at one point before I pinpointed Meme to be the last one after I had died, strictly based on who it couldn't be - which left her as only choice). :p}


@My reaction on KaiRai's Dream post: It just tells me that The Ghost of the Mafia Past haunted your dreams KaiRai, to make this round a shadow version of Round 38 - which I think it more or less turned out to be...
And I don't mean that in a bad way at all (in case anyone should take it that way!) Really. If any, I found myself a lot more useful this round, than I was as Matsumoto Round 38. Even if I only managed to get 1 arrest both times... I just need to trust my instincts a bit more, and not make some silly mistakes because of a tired mind I guess. :x

That's true. The head side is heavier than tails.

^
A BO Coin will always land on the side which dooms a Cop! V: