Another option to consider is that Elena and Mary seem to be related to each other. Mary appears to be a spy if her actions are anything to go by. If Elena contacted Mary and said "Hey, we need to get out of here before we make this drug the Organization definitely shouldn't have," then Mary might have attempted to create a plot so that Atsushi and Elena could escape. Making it so the parents appear to die in a fire isn't bad. Then there could have been a later plot to get the kids out that failed, something like insinuate a spy, grab the kids, and scram.bash7353 wrote:Chekhov MacGuffin wrote:As far as the fire goes, I like the idea of it being an accident that happened when the Miyanos tried to extract themselves, or Vermouth did it. I don't think the BO would have destroyed their own valuable work, or their own scientists.
We know the Miyanos died in what is described as an accident. But I'm sure I'm not the first one to theorise that they were actually killed by the Black Organisation. Despite their involvement in the Black Organisation, both Shiho and Akemi have been firmly portrayed as good guys. Given the kind of series this is, I would be surprised if their parents turned out to be evil. So maybe they refused to continue their research at some point, possible over moral concerns, so the Black Organisation decided to kill them and have Shiho continue instead. The fire could be the supposed accident which killed the Miyanos. That would actually connect a few bits quite nicely.
I do find it convenient that the Kohji/Amanda case is 17ya and would have taken place soon after the Miyanos died in an accident. If someone tried to help the Miyanos escape and failed (related to Amanda?) that could have triggered the later events. I wonder if there is a connection there.
The weird part about this theory, and Elena in general, is the existence of Elena's tapes. It would appear that Elena planned to leave Shiho in the Organization to finish the drug. That's just straight-up odd. I believe Elena is a good character as the evidence suggests, but I can't imagine a scenario where the parents would leave but not the kids. Maybe Akemi was tasked with protecting Ai from the Org, but she would have been ~7-8 at the time. Who makes a child responsible for the life of their sister? I guess it's technically possible to doubt the veracity of the tapes (someone else recorded them with Elena's voice, but to trick Akemi who did know her Mom?), but I don't know why anyone would make them. Everything about the Miyano deaths and Elena is ... odd.
Maybe the Miyanos' deaths were suicides? They couldn't get out, but they couldn't finish the drug, so they killed themselves for lack of other options.
Edit: spelling and grammar, no content changes, except this edit line.