Arguments re: "target"
During the bus hijacking, (it is revealed later that) both Akai and Jodie knew Vermouth was Araide.
They should have also known that Vermouth was after Sherry.
They didn't know that Sherry shrank, but they were suspicious of Vermouth's age.
It could be taken that the "target" was Vermouth's target. That is to say, Sherry.
However, BOTH Akai and Jodie were on that bus. Akai felt it was necessary to risk revealing himself.
What kind of intelligence could they have gotten regarding Vermouth's target (Sherry) that would have been solid and convincing enough to necessitate that?
Nothing. No one knew at that point that Haibara was Sherry. Jodie obviously didn't know until later, when she saw Haibara, sick, in Agasa's car.
It could be taken that the "target" was Vermouth herself. The words that Akai said into the recorder were, "The target didn't appear/The target didn't reveal him/herself."
What would have made the FBI think she would reveal herself?
Nothing.
texascoffeegirl wrote:In Vol. 29 chap. 5 page 18, after the bus-hijacking-case, Akai states that their target didn't show up, although Vermouth was right in front of them. Vermouth aka Araide was supposed to meet somebody in the bus who didn't show up because of the hijack. Who is that other person, Akai and Jodie were waiting for? Is it Gin or the 'girlfriend', Akai mentioned to James Black? I mean, they (Akai and Jodie) expected the target to show up, that means it rules Sherry as the target completely out, cause at this time, they had no idea where Sherry is. Akai most likely got a tip, that the target will show up there.
We have already taken care of the translation of "koibito/shukuteki"
Doubt the "target" was Gin. Gin won't lead them anywhere, and it would be dangerous for the innocent civilians on the bus if Gin caught wind of what they were doing.
The door is wide open for the "target" to be a yet-unknown-to-us/unconfirmed-to-the-FBI B.O. member.
They would be able to link that person to Vermouth, and have that person investigated and watched.
It would be possible, if Akai still had some sort of inside information, to learn of this planned meeting between Vermouth and the unknown B.O. member.
The FBI's plan was probably to have Jodie meet the person as well (while tagging along with Araide), and Akai would be observing the whole ordeal 1) for him to have eyes-on and make his own determination, and 2) for back-up.
I'm not agreeing that Okino Yoko was the expected target. Unless she knows how to disguise as well (which would be pushing it - you can only have so many people that know how to do perfect disguises before your story falls apart) it would be unfeasible on both the B.O.'s part and the FBI's part. You can't bring an undisguised famous actress onto a bus in her own country and not expect her to be mobbed.
So, who was it?