ESPIONAGE: Campaign Round - DETECTIVES AND CIVILIANS WIN!

[Jellitto]

@SA

EDIT:

Actually, something about MDavid bugs me.
I think he's just a civilian. (yes, even though I nominated him) There's a chance he's a Spy, but I'm starting to think he isn't.

Same, actually.

If she meant that she thinks he is not a spy, but there's also the first part now that I think more.

[Edogawa4869]

LESS THAN NINE HOURS TO THE FINALE OF ESPIONAGE!

[shinichi'sapprentice]

@__@

[shinichi'sapprentice]

i have been TRYING to Locate Fuji's clues as to who she has proven NOT spy and i really can't find anything @__@

however

Okay, updating the list with dumytru's and Jellitto's changes, we get 2 people who only have votes from one source: MoonRaven and Jellitto. If I cover Jellitto, will you cover MoonRaven?
...

...
And I'll leave MoonRaven to you, SA!
...

above are quotes from Day 4 during the time when i and Fujiwara were trying to redistribute the votes before the day ends... at first, up until just a couplefew hours ago, i thought this is a clue saying "i have cleared these people!" together with

...
So you'll cover MoonRaven & Stopwatch then?

there's also...

...
So IF we assume that MoonRaven was cleared by Jecka, we have SA, Raifuu and MoonRaven as Townies. Leaving 6 possible spies.
...

...from Day 5. i'm not sure if Fujiwara's trying to insist that she has proven MoonRaven @__@
BUT--!

...
Of the people which have been nominated so far - who mostly coincide with my own suspects - I'd say I'm most suspicious of Nemomon, who was just active enough to secure his survival in the first 2 days, but hasn't actually contributed anything to the discussion so far. You may say that the same can be said for other people, but while people like Raifuu and Jellitto are known for being more quiet, Nemomon was a lot more active in discussing things last round.
...

above was the deciding factor that made me initiate an arrest on Nemomon once again. but unfortunately, he was actually just a civilian ;__;

*...so, now, it made me think... who exactly did Fujiwara clear @__@ ...is she actually trying to tell me it's the other way around... @__@ "...And I'll leave MoonRaven to you, SA!" Leave for me to save or Leave for me to arrest?! @__@

so, now, Let's Look at MoonRaven's posts...

--PREP PHASE
~...figuring out killing schedule?

--DAY 1
~...careless civilian OR

--DAY 5
~click
*in this link is where she just calmly reacts about a detective's death and didn't really try to answer my questions and talks about her 'list'... she also mentions she trusts me... WHY?!

--others (i'd like to put these ones together instead of putting it under the day phase it was posted)
~@Day 5

...

3. who do YOU trust?
Jellitto and Nemo. If only because we've been exchanging votes... and well... SA I guess.

That's a weird reason to trust someone.

indeed! i second Fujiwara here!

~@Day 6:

Voting nemo. I decided that already yesterday. *yawns* tomorrow either stop or dumy... See ya

here, it seems like she already know that Nemomon is not a spy and ready to vote Stopwatch of dumytru on the final day @__@

~@Day 7:

at the moment I'll...

a) I vote dumy
b) I vote SA
c) Jump off a cliff

then... right at Day 7, she changes her decision from Stopwatch or dumytru, to dumytru or shinichi'sapprentice. then finally decided to vote shinichi'sapprentice just because shinichi'sapprentice planned to vote her @__@

^don't you think the above makes her most likely Spy B candidate # 1? i was ready to find some more posts from her to prove my theory. one, she really hasn't shared anything helpful for us at all. two, she has just been going with what we are doing... three, i don't remember her answering my question on who she thinks are the spies and instead just continually mentions that it's probably someone on her list...

NOW... HOWEVER... ALL THESE THEORIES JUST SHATTERED A FEW HOURS AGO AND I HAD TO STOP AND MY MIND WENT BLANK WHEN I WAS TRYING TO PRESSURE HER TO SLIP SOME MORE @__@ HOW IN THE WORLD WAS SHE ABLE TO POST HER 'LIST' IN JUST TWO MINUTES... @__@ ...took me a while to regain my calm so i decided to write down what i initially wanted to get out there in the first place. but still... is she just actually a civilian..? @__@

---

...calling the attention of MDavid!!

...since if i was wrong and MoonRaven really is not the other spy, then it can only be you! @__@ it took you thirty minutes to post your 'list' after all... @__@ anyway, i can't just leave the possibility since you actually really have a lot of explaining to do... @__@

~from Day 1

As I said I am not selling votes, but I am definitely willing to buy them.

No cakes or kittens, sorry.

I have analyzed players based on their topic activity so far and there are some interesting results.

So you can ask me questions. One piece of information costs one vote.

Examples:
"Who is the most suspicious of being a spy?" 1 vote
"Who are the three most suspicious of being a non-civilian?" 3 votes
"What do you think about the roles of ___ and ___?" 2 votes

You can also offer me votes to not reveal it if you think it's dangerous in any way.

Please note that these are only my ideas and there is little amount of data available so far.

by now, don't you think you could answer these questions you had a week ago? ...or at least explain what you're trying to do and why you're trying to do it...

~from Day 6

Right now I can't really trust anyone, for different reasons each.

Even if I had a different suspect, it would be useless for me to vote for them at this point, so Nemomon it is.

You have no reason to be so vague.

Why would it be useless to push your votes elsewhere? We need to get this lynch right.

Just, expand, okay?

ANSWER Stopwatch's question here!!

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NOW, I HAVE HERE TWO POSTS FROM Day 6, WHICH IF I QUOTED CORRECTLY, ARE THE VERY FIRST POSTS OF MoonRaven and MDavid on that particular day. Day 6, IS WHEN WE SAW Day 5's RESULTS: SPY RAIFUUJIN WAS ARRESTED AND DETECTIVE FUJIWARA WAS KILLED!! FOR A NORMAL CIVILIAN, WELL... NOT ME SINCE I KNEW WHAT WENT ON THERE, DON'T YOU THINK YOU'LL HAVE A REACTION SIMILAR TO THIS WHEN YOU FIND THAT RESULT?! BUT THEN, WHAT WE GOT FROM MY TOP TWO SPY SUSPECT NOW ARE:

I guess the results make Stopwatch innocent or at least less suspicious.

Otherwise Fujiwara would have just let her be arrested. Or maybe he wasn't sure about her but was sure about Raifuujin.

Anyway, taking 4 of her vote slots in advance and eliminating her like that, nice move.

EDIT: Sorry, I discovered this just now:

Having doubts about Stopwatch's evilness as well

AND

hm... O.O this was an intersting and surprising turn. I have no idea whom to vote now.

WHAT DO YOU GUYS THINK?! IS IT JUST ME OR WHAT..? O__O

i was pretty sure it's MoonRaven we are looking for BUT THEN THAT HAPPENED... @__@

[MDavid]

it took you thirty minutes to post your 'list' after all... @__@

So you assume that
1. the spy has no fake list prepared in advance
2. a fake list takes half an hour to come up with

by now, don't you think you could answer these questions you had a week ago? ...or at least explain what you're trying to do and why you're trying to do it...

I don't fully understand what you mean here, but I was not making statistics from the moment I realised there was nobody else interested in them. Also it was very time consuming and did not actually help me. The results of Day 5 made me really confused, so I can't answer these now. If I could I would have already, since there is no point in avoiding being killed by the spy now.

ANSWER Stopwatch's question here!!

I meant that Nemomon was getting so much votes that voting on somebody else would not have changed the results.

BUT THEN, WHAT WE GOT FROM MY TOP TWO SPY SUSPECT NOW ARE

I don't see what is weird there.

[MoonRaven]

I don't know if I should say anything... I have a feeling no matter what I say, I'll come as suspicious character by now.

I do say that I've never really answered to Spy suspicions because I've never really had any suspects. and my playing style is both paranoid and homicidal regardless of my role. Surely you have noticed it. And remember I was a detective in the first game I ever played and got lynched no matter what I said. I simply can't explain my behavior just like that.

*is preparing to laugh tomorrow*
Hmm... should I construct some superpost?

[Jellitto]

Now I'm not sure if I should vote MDavid or MoonRaven. When I last reread the posts, I was leaning to MDavid though but on the other hand I cannot think much to MoonRavens defence either...

[Edogawa4869]

FIVE HOURS TO THE FINALE OF ESPIONAGE!

[MDavid]

My vote priority right now. This is mostly based on intuition since I'm too lazy to read every post again.

#1 MoonRaven
#2 shinichi'sapprentice
#3 dumytru
#4 Jellitto
#5 Stopwatch

[shinichi'sapprentice]

YOU TWO... THAT IS ALL YOU CAN SAY..? IF NOT FOR MoonRaven posting her 'list' that fast, i would have secured her arrest today already... @__@ so, you're just gonna laugh at us whether you are actually the spy or just a civilian because we failed to do what we have to do... very helpful civilian you are, eh... dumytru! what do you think?! T-T

[Jellitto]

One thing that came to mind about MoonRaven:

D1, she said that people she was going vote were in her list "if she remembered correctly". Her 'list' has all these people.

Just throwing this in here.

[dumytru]

YOU TWO... THAT IS ALL YOU CAN SAY..? IF NOT FOR MoonRaven posting her 'list' that fast, i would have secured her arrest today already... @__@ so, you're just gonna laugh at us whether you are actually the spy or just a civilian because we failed to do what we have to do... very helpful civilian you are, eh... dumytru! what do you think?! T-T

I'm going to vote Moon this phase.

I think a list can be made up very fast. There's a list in the first post containing all the players (the poster).
And she could have prepared one in advance.

[shinichi'sapprentice]

WHAT IS GONNA HAPPEN NOW...

MDavid is most certainly going to vote MoonRaven now... if i remember correctly, he hasn't really mentioned any names who he thinks is the spy. only thing i can remember right now is that he said he trusts Raifuujin, Iwamoto Yuri, and shinichi'sapprentice... this is either based on his list OR he was confident on 'trusting' those names since one, Yuri was gonna die the phase he mentioned he trusted her... two, i'm the person who yelled out loud that i have 'cleared' Raifuujin of being NOT spy which then helped him narrow down that i am not a detective..? and three... Raifuujin...

MoonRaven, notice how she planned to vote Stopwatch OR dumytru, as i quoted above on my previous post, then in response to dumytru, changed that to dumytru OR shinichi'sapprentice, THEN DECIDED TO VOTE ME... Looks Like she doesn't even care who she will vote and can't even be bothered to take the time and think who really is the spy!

*sneaky post from Jellitto and dumytru *goes to read*

[shinichi'sapprentice]

Jellitto! what are your thoughts?!

[dumytru]

Wait, forget that. I won't be voting Moon. Jellitto is DAMN RIGHT!!
That list must be authentic, hence Moon's a civilian.
It's true she voted 100% from her list, and she also voted Jecka.


MDavid would be my next suspect (I've actually started to trust Jellitto since yesterday, and now she's proving Moon's innocence*)


*I would also do that if I were spy, but in situation, this could be bad for the spy.