ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Detective and Civilians Win)

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Kaito Lady
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Kaito Lady »

I think we should decide who to vote for by deciding who not to vote for.

like kleene, she was the detective last time and the probabilities of her being the detective this time again are rather slim so if we vote for her we can be quite sure we are not voting for the detective...

on the other hand the probabilities that the person that was last round the detective is this round the spy are just as slim.


therefore, I conclude that I won't vote for kleene.

any other one has any idea who shouldn't be voted?
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Kleene Onigiri »

*throws math book at KL*
The chance of me being a special role is 1/22. Same chance for me being the spy, is also 1/22. (4,54%) Which is the same for everyone :P
But I like this. Yes yes! Don't vote Kleene!

The idea to nominate someone not to vote is worth considering :o
That way, the spy can tell people who not to vote based on their results. It won't look as suspicious when a lot of people do that.
But the Informant can do the same thing tho. Hmm~
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Jellitto »

Kleene Onigiri wrote:*throws math book at KL*
The chance of me being a special role is 1/22. Same chance for me being the spy, is also 1/22. (4,54%) Which is the same for everyone :P
But I like this. Yes yes! Don't vote Kleene!

The idea to nominate someone not to vote is worth considering :o
That way, the spy can tell people who not to vote based on their results. It won't look as suspicious when a lot of people do that.
But the Informant can do the same thing tho. Hmm~
Kleene Onigiri wrote:I nominate Jellitto D:
You think I´m suspicious? D:

I´m not sure if I understood it right but isn´t the chance of you having a special role 3/19 now, since one special role and two civilians are out of the game?

Then your chance of being the Spy is 1/19 since one of the remaining 19 players is the Spy.

Same goes for me too but I can say voting for me would be futile because I´m a civilian.

I guess I´ll nominate Meme for now. I don´t yet know who to vote today though.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Kaito Lady »

Kleene Onigiri wrote:*throws math book at KL*
The chance of me being a special role is 1/22. Same chance for me being the spy, is also 1/22. (4,54%) Which is the same for everyone :P
But I like this. Yes yes! Don't vote Kleene!

The idea to nominate someone not to vote is worth considering :o
That way, the spy can tell people who not to vote based on their results. It won't look as suspicious when a lot of people do that.
But the Informant can do the same thing tho. Hmm~
Oi! don't throw stuff at me!
I'm on your side! :P
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Kleene Onigiri »

Jellitto wrote:
Kleene Onigiri wrote:*throws math book at KL*
The chance of me being a special role is 1/22. Same chance for me being the spy, is also 1/22. (4,54%) Which is the same for everyone :P
But I like this. Yes yes! Don't vote Kleene!

The idea to nominate someone not to vote is worth considering :o
That way, the spy can tell people who not to vote based on their results. It won't look as suspicious when a lot of people do that.
But the Informant can do the same thing tho. Hmm~
Kleene Onigiri wrote:I nominate Jellitto D:
You think I´m suspicious? D:

I´m not sure if I understood it right but isn´t the chance of you having a special role 3/19 now, since one special role and two civilians are out of the game?

Then your chance of being the Spy is 1/19 since one of the remaining 19 players is the Spy.

Same goes for me too but I can say voting for me would be futile because I´m a civilian.

I guess I´ll nominate Meme for now. I don´t yet know who to vote today though.
I was taking the numbers from the beginning of the game, were all 22 people were still alive, fresh, not zombiefied or arrested :D Everyone had the 1/22 chance to be the spy or the detective.

If you take the current state, it'll be 3/19 for a special role counting in the Informant too,yep :)


*hugs KL* :D
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Edogawa4869 »

You know, I moved to Florida to be away from the math and probabilities and whatnot. :V

Anyway, this whole game is just so new and what not I'm just struggling to spend time on this page during the day what with work and play and whatnot. xD

I'm still not sure who I'm voting for yet. You're all suspects in my eyes. O___O
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Memesu »

I nominate KL.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Kaito Lady »

Meme wrote:I nominate KL.
I nominate meme.

EDIT: just out of curiosity, why me?
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by bash7353 »

Meme wrote:I nominate KL.
Dear Informant,
in order to identify yourself, please reply to the thread with nothing more than three words.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Memesu »

You´re really hanging on to that :P
Kaito Lady wrote:
Meme wrote:I nominate KL.
I nominate meme.

EDIT: just out of curiosity, why me?
You seemed suspicious just now :P
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Kaito Lady »

Meme wrote:You´re really hanging on to that :P
Kaito Lady wrote:
Meme wrote:I nominate KL.
I nominate meme.

EDIT: just out of curiosity, why me?
You seemed suspicious just now :P
but-but-!
there ought to be a rule that says you can't kill the one that will have her b-day in - *checks the calender* - 3 days! D:
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Fujiwara »

Kleene Onigiri wrote: I nominate Jellitto D:
Well, Jellitto didn't post much in the beginning and not at all on day 2. Considering that the spy may not have killed because he was absent, this makes him suspicious. I support the nomination and will vote for him unless someone provides a good argument as to why I shouldn't.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Jellitto »

Fujiwara wrote:
Kleene Onigiri wrote: I nominate Jellitto D:
Well, Jellitto didn't post much in the beginning and not at all on day 2. Considering that the spy may not have killed because he was absent, this makes him suspicious. I support the nomination and will vote for him unless someone provides a good argument as to why I shouldn't.
I didn't vote on day 2 because I didn't find anything relevant to say then. I'm not the most active person when it comes to working in a group, but I will say if I have some ideas.

On day 1 I posted basically so that people would not arrest me because of "inactivity".

I keep kind of a diary of this game to where I write what I think of the posts left that day. On day 2 I hadn't any great ideas so I voted (which is my only possible action since I'm a civilian) and decided to wait for the results of the voting and comment on that.

Also because I didn't post on day 2, I wanted to comment today a bit more.

I'm a "she" by the way.
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 3)

Post by Fujiwara »

I see. Of course, it is difficult to know whether or not you are telling the truth. In fact, with nothing but a list of names that may or may not contain the spy's name, we don't really have a lot to go on right now. I think I shall stick with my vote for lack of alternatives though and if you are innocent I apologize in advance. :-\

And my apologies for mistaking you for a man, milady. ^^
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Re: ESPIONAGE: Round Two (Day 4)

Post by Stopwatch »

Kaito Lady, a Civilian, was arrested
Votes:
Spoiler:
Meme <- Jellitto, Kleene Onigiri, shinichi'sapprentice
Kaito Lady <- Meme, Raiden, googleearth, Kamite
shinichi'sapprentice <- miyano_shiho, Raifuujin
RoboG55 <- monsi, Jecka
Raifuujin <- Togop
miyano_shiho <- Jd-
Togop <- Edogawa4869
Jellitto <- Fujiwara
googleearth <- Yuri Iwamoto
Fujiwara <- Kaito Lady
Raiden <- RoboG55
monsi <- breva
googleearth, a Civilian was killed.
List:
1. [illegible]
2. Kaito Lady
3. [illegible]
4. [illegible]
5. breva
6. Togop
7. [illegible]
Start of Day 4
Last edited by Stopwatch on February 13th, 2014, 5:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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