ESPIONAGE: Campaign Round - DETECTIVES AND CIVILIANS WIN!

[MDavid]

As I said I am not selling votes, but I am definitely willing to buy them.

No cakes or kittens, sorry.

I have analyzed players based on their topic activity so far and there are some interesting results.

So you can ask me questions. One piece of information costs one vote.

Examples:
"Who is the most suspicious of being a spy?" 1 vote
"Who are the three most suspicious of being a non-civilian?" 3 votes
"What do you think about the roles of ___ and ___?" 2 votes

You can also offer me votes to not reveal it if you think it's dangerous in any way.

Please note that these are only my ideas and there is little amount of data available so far.

[shinichi'sapprentice]

whoa there. now, now... Let's get down to business~
dammit Raiden >.> xD
i do not approve of those example questions except the first one and even so, i do not have any suspects of my own at this point

so... MDavid, "Who is the most suspicious of being a spy?"

[Jd-]

Right~~
I did two big mistakes. First I included the owner in his own list.
Fair enough, but what I did was the probability that at least one spy is on the list.

I'm gonna do those again when I am actually awake.

I think the time is right for us to do a one-phase exchange, dumytru. Shall we perhaps exchange +3 votes to one another for Day 1? We can see how it goes from there.

[MDavid]

so... MDavid, "Who is the most suspicious of being a spy?"

At this moment it seems to be Fujiwara.

That will be (at least) 1 vote for me.

[dumytru]

Right~~
I did two big mistakes. First I included the owner in his own list.
Fair enough, but what I did was the probability that at least one spy is on the list.

I'm gonna do those again when I am actually awake.

I think the time is right for us to do a one-phase exchange, dumytru. Shall we perhaps exchange +3 votes to one another for Day 1? We can see how it goes from there.

One phase exchange sounds good, but let's do +2 instead of +3. (or maybe +1)


@MDavid
That deal of yours is interesting, do you know something we don't know?
Also, I fear your strategy will backfire.

Let's see how it goes, for the time being.

[MDavid]

@MDavid
That deal of yours is interesting, do you know something we don't know?

Any answer to this might give away a hint about my role.

Also, I fear your strategy will backfire.
Let's see how it goes, for the time being.

It's risky in many ways indeed, but I rather do this than nothing.
It's all about fun.

[dumytru]

It's all about fun.

You won my trust by saying that.

[Jd-]

Right~~
I did two big mistakes. First I included the owner in his own list.
Fair enough, but what I did was the probability that at least one spy is on the list.

I'm gonna do those again when I am actually awake.

I think the time is right for us to do a one-phase exchange, dumytru. Shall we perhaps exchange +3 votes to one another for Day 1? We can see how it goes from there.

One phase exchange sounds good, but let's do +2 instead of +3. (or maybe +1)

A +2 exchange sounds great to me. Done!

[Jecka]

I'm gonna be out most of the day so I need to figure out what I'm going to do quickly >_>

[Kaito Lady]

I'm gonna be out most of the day so I need to figure out what I'm going to do quickly >_>

Vote for me!
I also have cake

[Fujiwara]

so... MDavid, "Who is the most suspicious of being a spy?"

At this moment it seems to be Fujiwara.

Based on what exactly? If you don't even give a reason for that assessment, it's a bit hard to take it seriously. (Which I would also be saying if you had said the same about anyone else, btw.)

@MDavid
That deal of yours is interesting, do you know something we don't know?

Any answer to this might give away a hint about my role.

Nope, it really couldn't. The detectives haven't investigated anyone yet (and even if they had, they could only say who's NOT suspicious). The Civilians have a list, but it doesn't contain any info about the Spies, only the Detectives.
Even the Spies haven't been able to gather any role-based info (via failed kills) yet. So please tell me: How exactly could the way you got to your conclusions lead back to your role?

[MDavid]

Based on what exactly? If you don't even give a reason for that assessment, it's a bit hard to take it seriously. (Which I would also be saying if you had said the same about anyone else, btw.)

I'm sorry, it was not an accusation. Only what the numbers showed me. Since we are so early in the game these may change with every few posts. If I reveal the reasons just yet, it will be easy to manipulate my calculations. I am happy to explain after the game ends.

Nope, it really couldn't. The detectives haven't investigated anyone yet (and even if they had, they could only say who's NOT suspicious). The Civilians have a list, but it doesn't contain any info about the Spies, only the Detectives.
Even the Spies haven't been able to gather any role-based info (via failed kills) yet.

Well at this point it's technically impossible to gather more information than a civilian.
Saying "I know the same as everyone else." would indicate I'm a civilian.
Saying "I know less." would indicate I'm non-civilian.

[Osaka Detective]

Oops! Looks like I'm a bit late to the party. Sorry guys, been a bit busy :V

So anyone still willing to exchange votes? XD

[Nemomon]

Oops! Looks like I'm a bit late to the party. Sorry guys, been a bit busy :V

Hey Detective, have You found the other detective?

[MoonRaven]

I'm feeling too lazy to read all the posts since I've been away. I'm just going to give out one vote per each person I'm voting quite randomly. If I rememebr correctly they are all from my list. I just hope some people will give votes to my direction too. 'kay?